Tag Archives: Commodities

Commodities Markets: History of Gold Prices

Why should investors want to know about the history of gold prices?

As a financial investor buying and selling commodities, it is important to understand the market’s underlying trends. Knowing about the history of gold prices will also help investors make better financial decisions — not only in commodities but other markets, as well.

It is important to know more about the history of your business and the industry in which it operates. Over time, these types of practices can help to shed light on how you should invest and when certain mistakes can be avoided.

Gold’s history as a safe-haven asset

In gold, you will know why the prices change the way they changed, which is why investors should consider buying some of the best gold coin inventory. You also know about the high and the low season.

Gold is seen as the most precious metal among the others. Its value is mostly higher than the others. Today, gold is still used as a reliable way to store wealth and this will continue to be the case because of the changing values of fiat and paper currencies.

Gold prices can change but they have historically remained at a reasonable level of value. Therefore, gold is still the best measure of wealth for investors.

History of financial markets

This is a continuation of the traditional norms, as kings and queens have always stored their wealth in the form of gold. Many decades ago, gold was used as money on an everyday basis.

Our forefathers traded products for gold and remnants of these trends still exist today.  In some nations, gold is used in making coins (though in small amount, but it is of great value.)

Invest in Gold Coins

In some museums, you will find a collection of these coins that were fully or partially made of gold. The prices of gold have however faced changes in the recent years.

Today, gold is traded in electronic trading platforms.  In 2011, it managed to rise up to over $1900 before it started declining, and this shows just how much gold is still valued in society.  Gold is making headlines not only in physical form but also virtually as a basis for many cryptocurrencies.

History of gold prices in the United States

Starting in the year 1791, the prices of gold in the U.S experienced changes. In this year, the price of gold was $19.49 per ounce. 43 years down the line, the price went up to $20.69 per ounce (increasing by just $1.20 after 43 years).

In 1928, the Federal Reserve raised its base interest rate levels, which ended in a recession in 1929. These events inspired many people to redeem the normal currency and exchange fiat into gold.  This is largely why gold has more value compared to the U.S. dollar at this time.

Invest in Gold Coins

Due to the high demand for gold, the Federal Reserve was asked to raise the interest rates. In 1931 the value of the dollar increased and there was a decrease in demand for gold. In 1933, a law was stated that did not allow anyone to own bullion and gold coins

Ever since then, the history of gold prices in the U.S became more interesting for bullish investors. The strength and weakness of the dollar has contributed to the increasingy bullish price changes for gold.  Before investing in gold, you should be aware of factors that contribute in change of price in gold.

Our analysts will enable you know the best time to invest and when to avoid such markets.  As a result, there are many factors that have contributed to the change of price in gold over time. 

Demand and supply of physical gold

Gold has many uses from making jewelry to being used as a store for wealth. When gold is in high demand and the supply is low, the prices tend to go up. This is one cause of changes in gold prices. It is not different from the other markets.

Any product that has low supply compared to demand increases in price. When gold is in high supply and the demand is low, prices go down. This is because sellers has more than what the market needs. 

Inflation and deflation

This is a sign that the economy is growing. Higher rate of inflation leads to higher prices of gold. Inflation is as a result of stable political factors and motivation in economic growth.

For instance, gold did not perform well during the world war. Before the beginning of World War 1, some nations adopted the Gold Standard, which was used to compare domestic currencies (before setting the prices) to the value of a certain amount of gold.

U.S. Inflation

However, this came to an end when the war begun. During this period, economic growth was not experienced either. Deflation happens when there is no upward growth in the economy. It is a time when there is less employment opportunities and investments. This leads to decrease in gold prices.

Central banks

Central banks are in charge of the amount of money circulating in a country. It also has the mandate to limit the amount of gold in supply. This can lead to change in prices.

Another factor to remember is that when the central bank increases interest rates, the price of gold rises. Central banks therefore play a vital role in changes of gold prices.

Strength and weakness of the U.S. dollar

These days, Gold is denominated in U.S. dollars. When the value of the dollar goes high, the price of gold decreases. It is also true that gold price increases with a weakening dollar value.

U.S. Dollar

Of course, this is because when the dollar becomes weak, the currency in other nations become stronger. When this happens, the demand for products go up, gold is one of them. Its demand goes high leading to raise in its price. 

Conclusion: gold’s long history in financial markets

The history of gold prices starts way back during the B.C era. It was highly valued like today. As time went by, gold coins were used instead of gold bars. Today, gold remains to be a treasure.

If you have gold, you feel that you are rich. This is because of the value it has and how much it is worth. A small piece of gold will go for dollars. Most importantly, people in the buying and selling of gold should not overlook its journey.

Commodities Markets: What Causes Changes in Gold Prices?

Commodities Markets: What Causes Changes in Gold Prices?

Why do investors want to know about the history of gold prices? When buying and selling precious metals, investors always need to know about the dominant market trend. Knowing about the history of gold prices will help you make good decisions. Not only in minerals but other markets, as well. It is important to know more about the history of your business. It sheds light on what you should do and when. In gold, you will know why the prices change the way they changed. You also know about the high and the low season. Gold is seen as the most precious metal among the others. Its value is mostly higher than the others. Gold, until today, is used as a store for wealth. This will continue to be the case because of the changing values of fiat and paper currencies. 

Gold prices change but they still remain at a reasonable point. Therefore, gold is the best measure of wealth. This is a continuation of the traditional norms. Kings and queens stored their wealth in the form of gold. Many decades ago, gold was used as money. Our forefathers traded products for gold. Today, all that has not been eliminated. In some nations, gold is used in making coins. Though, in a small amount, gold is of great value. In some museums, you will find a collection of these coins that were fully or partially made of gold. The prices of gold have however faced changes in recent years. Today, gold is traded in electronic trading platforms. In 2011, it managed to rise up to over $1,900 before it started going down. This is to show you how much gold is valued. It is making headlines not only in physical form but also virtually.

History of Gold Prices in the U.S

Starting from the year 1791, the prices of gold in the U.S experienced changes. In 1791, the price of gold was $19.49 per ounce. 43 years down the line, the price went up to $20.69 per ounce. Increasing with $1.2 only after 43 years doesn’t seem right. In 1928, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates. This led to a recession in 1929. This made people redeem the normal currency into gold. Gold had more value compared to the dollar at this time. Due to the high demand for gold, the Federal Reserve was asked to raise the interest rates. 

In 1931, the value of the dollar increased and there was a decrease in demand for gold. In 1933, a law was stated that did not allow anyone to own bullion and gold coins. The gold was sold to Federal Reserve since private ownership was now illegal. Ever since the history of gold prices in the U.S became more interesting. The strength and weakness of the dollar have contributed to the price changes for gold. In 2011, the price of gold was at $1,895 per ounce. This was a result of the debt crisis. 

Before investing in gold, you should be aware of factors that contribute to the change in price in gold. They will enable you to know the best time to invest and when not to. There are many factors that have contributed to these changes and some of them are;

Demand and Supply of Physical Gold

Gold has many uses from making jewelry to being used as a store for wealth. When gold is in high demand and the supply is low, the prices tend to go up. This is one cause of changes in gold prices. It is not different from other markets. Any product that has a low supply compared to demand increases in price. When gold is in high supply and the demand is low, prices go down. This is because sellers have more than what the market needs. 

Inflation and Deflation

This is a sign that the economy is growing. A higher rate of inflation leads to higher prices of gold. Inflation is a result of stable political factors and motivation in economic growth. For instance, gold did not perform well during the world war. Before the beginning of World War 1, some nations adopted the gold standard. The gold standard was used to compare domestic currencies before setting the prices, to the value of a certain amount of gold. However, this came to an end when the war began. During this period, economic growth was not experienced either. Deflation happens when there is no upward growth in the economy. It is a time when there are fewer employment opportunities and investments. This leads to a decrease in gold prices.

Central Banks

Central banks are in charge of the amount of money circulating in a country. It also has a mandate to limit the amount of gold in supply. This can lead to a change in prices. Another thing is, when the central bank increases interest rates, the price of gold rises. Central banks, therefore, play a vital role in changes in gold prices.

Strength and Weakness in the U.S. Dollar

Gold is dollar-denominated. When the value of the dollar goes high, the price of gold decreases. It is also true that gold price increases with a weakening dollar value. This is because, when the dollar becomes weak, the currency in other nations become stronger. When this happens, the demand for products go up, gold is one of them. Its demand goes high leading to a rise in its price. 

Conclusion

The story of gold prices starts way back in history. However, today it remains highly valued. As time went by, gold coins were used instead of gold bars. Today, gold remains to be a treasure. If you have gold, you feel that you are rich. This is because of the value it has and how much it is worth. A small piece of gold will go for dollars. Most importantly, people in the buying and selling of gold should not overlook its journey.

Gold Markets: Bullish Trends in First Quarter Performance

Gold Markets: Bullish Trends in First Quarter Performance

Gold prices gained in value during the first quarter even as upside moves were also tallied in the S&P 500 Index (NYSE: SPY), the NASDAQ Composite Index (NYSE: QQQ), and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (NYSE: DIA).

Each of these markets gained positive benefits from the Federal Reserve, as the central bank reversed its hawkish position near the beginning of the year. Further optimism came from progress in trade talks between China and the United States, and this helped push the markets higher during the quarter. Gold prices held steady even as investors saw reduced need for safe-haven assets.

Central drivers for the underlying price of gold in 2019 may develop as a result of the Federal Reserve’s changing tone and the market’s expectations for an extended decline in international growth rates. Negative sentiment that stems from a potential global slowdown has diminished investor concerns of higher interest rates. If these concerns persist (and if the yield curve remains inverted), demand for gold should continue to increase.

Performances from Gold Miners

One of the most popular exchange-traded funds is the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Trust (NYSE: GDX), which rose by 6.3% in the first quarter of this year. Performances in gold mining stocks have varied widely during the period (depending largely their individual fourth-quarter valuation changes and the different company outlooks for 2019).

(Source: NASDAQ, NYSE)

In Q12019, each of the senior and intermediate gold miners saw bullish trends in their stock values, with the exception of IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG). The stock dropped 5.7% during the quarter. In contrast, Eldorado Gold (NYSE: EGO) gained by the most in the group (at 60.8%).

Other key names in the industry include Goldcorp (NYSE: GG) and Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY), which gained by 16.7% and 10.7%, respectively. Mid-level performances were generated by Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM) and Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC), which gained by 7.7%, 6.2%, respectively. Quarterly performances from Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM) and Barrick Gold (NYSE: GOLD) lagged somewhat, but still posted gains 3.2%, and 1.3%, respectively.

Weaker Gains from Barrick Gold

Senior miner Barrick Gold (NYSE: GOLD) underperformed many of its peers and also lagged behind the performances of key exchange-traded funds NUGT and GDXJ in the first quarter of 2019. The underlying bullish trends in metals did help Barrick stock prices rise by 1.3% in the first quarter, while the benchmark fund GDX produced much more impressive returns (at 6.3%).

(Source: Barrick’s Quarterly Filings)

Disappointing stock trends from Barrick might prove to be short-lived, however, as the company’s fourth-quarter earnings results did beat analyst expectations. Earlier euphoria stemming from Barrick’s announced merger plans with Randgold Resources (which finalized on January 1st) may have reached a point of exhaustion, and profit-taking in bullish positions could be responsible for the weaker performances we have seen recently.

At the moment, analysts are waiting to see material earnings benefits from the proposed execution plans between the two companies. Once this occurs, the stock may have a chance to run higher. Recent guidance indicates potential gold production output of 5.1–5.6 million ounces in 2019 (which would be an increase of 18% year-over-year).

Barrick has reported lower production rates for eight straight years, but the company’s declining production profile could be helped by its deal with Randgold. Barrick’s production costs imply a potential rise of 11% in 2019 (when compared to company data from 2018).

In combination with Barrick’s weaker production guidance, the company also reported a year-over-year decline in its reserves of 3.4%. The average grade of the Barrick’s reserves was unchanged from 2017 (1.56 grams per ton). Barrick continues to maintain the highest grades in the industry (as Goldcorp, Kinross Gold, and Newmont Mining all have lower grades).

Five Gold Stocks Loved by Wall Street

Most of the time, gold mining stock work as a leveraged way of playing gold prices. In 2018, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners fund dropped by 9.3%, in moved amplified by the 1.9% drop in gold prices.

The Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X fund (NYSE: NUGT) and the Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Bull 3X fund (NYSE: JNUG) saw dramatic price action that surpassed these trends by a large margin. In 2018, NUGT and JNUG weathered losses of 45% and 48%, respectively. Year-to-date in 2019, the benchmark fund GDX has gained 10.3%.

(Source: NYSE)

Of course, gold miners are impacted by company-specific issues in addition to gold’s price movements. So far, several company-specific factors have influenced the performances of the gold miners — and this will likely support prices as investors find out where to sell gold coins in 2019. Barrick Gold finished its planned merger with Randgold Resources in January, and it has also been influenced by problematic factors at its mines.

Similarly, Kinross Gold and Eldorado Gold experienced government interference and stresses after mining code changes. Newmont Mining also announced a merger with Goldcorp in January of this year.

Gold Prices: Precious Metals Rally to 5-Week Highs

The SPDR Gold Trust ETF is now trading at 5-week highs.  Stalling momentum in stock markets and the prospects of lower interest rates policies in the US suggest that precious metals could rally in the first half of 2018.  Generally speaking, there is a strong divergence between the activity that is seen in the stock markets and the precious metals markets so we will watch to see if this continues in the financial markets during the next few months.